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Election Tuesday

August 17, 2004

(archived broadcast )
What’s all this talk about who’s ahead in the polls? We all know it’s the Electoral College that matters. And in state-by-state polls, Kerry has taken a small but decisive lead.

It’s very close, but it is Kerry’s race to lose now. What’s even more interesting than Kerry’s lead is that most of America still thinks Bush will win! Is it because we fear another Florida?
Join me for another Election Tuesday debate with our Republican friend Tom Robins, State Chair of the Utah College Republicans. We’ll also discuss the cynical attempt by Republicans to find an African-American to run against Barak Obama in Illinois: they had to scrape the bottom of the barrel to get Maryland laughing-stock Alan Keyes.
My current electoral college prediction: Kerry wins the election with all the Gore states plus New Hampshire and Florida (unless massive fraud occurs again there). Well within reach are Ohio and West Virginia. And still possible but will take some work: Missouri, Nevada, Arkansas in that order. Conceivables: Virginia, Arizona, and Tennessee in that order, as well as 4 electoral votes from Colorado if voters reject the Electoral College there.
Only Gore state I fear Kerry could lose: Wisconsin, and to a much lesser extent: Iowa, Minnesota, and Maine in that order.

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  • Skip August 18, 2004 2:15 am

    Your comments about the possibility of vote fraud in November reminded me of something I heard the other day. Have you heard about the republicans encouraging their rank and file to use absentee ballots? It makes one wonder. Greg Palast, where are you?
    On another subject, did anyone hear Fox news attempting to “forcast” an economic downturn on the yet-to-hit hurricane Charlie last Saturday? That was an easy call, since things are already going south.

  • Carl Rove August 17, 2004 6:07 pm

    Nathan, you know about the Oct. surprise of a fake Al-Qaeda attack in U.S.–Don’t you.

  • Nostradamus Smith August 17, 2004 6:04 pm

    If Bush remains President by hook or crook–mortgage to the hilt and max as many credit cards as you can–life as we know it will be over before your debits are ever called

  • RikAtomika August 17, 2004 4:03 pm

    After the RNC Bush will convience America that it’s more patriotic to go AWOL then it is to serve honorably.