(archived broadcast )
What’s all this talk about who’s ahead in the polls? We all know it’s the Electoral College that matters. And in state-by-state polls, Kerry has taken a small but decisive lead.
It’s very close, but it is Kerry’s race to lose now. What’s even more interesting than Kerry’s lead is that most of America still thinks Bush will win! Is it because we fear another Florida?
Join me for another Election Tuesday debate with our Republican friend Tom Robins, State Chair of the Utah College Republicans. We’ll also discuss the cynical attempt by Republicans to find an African-American to run against Barak Obama in Illinois: they had to scrape the bottom of the barrel to get Maryland laughing-stock Alan Keyes.
My current electoral college prediction: Kerry wins the election with all the Gore states plus New Hampshire and Florida (unless massive fraud occurs again there). Well within reach are Ohio and West Virginia. And still possible but will take some work: Missouri, Nevada, Arkansas in that order. Conceivables: Virginia, Arizona, and Tennessee in that order, as well as 4 electoral votes from Colorado if voters reject the Electoral College there.
Only Gore state I fear Kerry could lose: Wisconsin, and to a much lesser extent: Iowa, Minnesota, and Maine in that order.